Brady Anderson and Caminiti

It now seems that the only criterion needed to prove a player is on steroids is for a player to have one season out of the ordinary. The latest victim of this new metric is Brady Anderson, who hit 50 home runs in 1996 — about double the amount he hit in any other season. This week, Jim “Head and Shoulders” Palmer used this standard to accuse Anderson of using steroids during the 1996 season. It is a stupid standard and Palmer ought to be ashamed of himself for saying it, but I thought I would run the “Caminiti test” on Anderson’s 1996. I want to compare Anderson’s improvement to Ken Caminiti’s improvement, which coincidently both happened in 1996. Caminiti admitted that his career year in 1996 was fueled by steroids, so I think it would be interesting if the improvement was similar.

	Anderson		Caminiti	
	OBP	ISO	OBP	ISO
93-95	0.363	0.167	0.351	0.184
1996	0.396	0.340	0.408	0.295
Change	9%	104%	16%	61% 

Both players improved, but in different ways. The improvements in isolated-power are big jumps for both, but Brady’s improvement was much larger. In terms of on-base-percentage, both improved, but Caminiti’s improvement was nearly twice Anderson’s.

I want to remind my readers that this is really a crappy test that I am doing mostly for fun, and there is not much information here. BUT, if you are one of those people who thinks the Palmer standard is a good one, then you would have to say that if Anderson had some help from steroids, he also had to improve quite a bit on his own. His hitting power grew a lot more than Caminiti’s, and we know he was on the juice.

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