Studes posts some interesting findings on what impacts hits on balls in play over at The Hardball Times this morning. I’ll summarize his findings if you promise to read the article.
- He improves FIP ERA by adjusting for the percent of fly balls that become home runs. (Braves fans, don’t look at Mike Hampton’s numbers.)
- He develops predictive models of hitter BABIP and HR rates based on a few simple metrics (line drives, fly balls, strikeouts, etc.).
- And just in time for Star Wars: The Revenge of the Sith, he rolls out an interesting new stat to measure hitting power known as “Force.” The stat has a lot of potential (LD% + HR/OF fly), but will be most useful for prospect discussions among geeks: “The force is strong with this young prospect.”