SSPS 2006
I’ve been really busy lately—I know who hasn’t?—which has significantly postponed some things I wanted to do. For example, I have been wanting to post the SSPS Projections for 2006 for a month. I’m only going do so for hitters this year. If you want to know what’s in SSPS (Sabernomics Simple Projection System) see the introductory post from last season.
I’m not going to defend it against other systems, it’s just more information. Use it as you wish. I don’t predict playing time or make projections for new teams. The projections assume that hitters play in the same home park as they did in 2005. For players who played on more than one team, the projections assume the player played for the team on which he played the most.
Here’s a list of the top-20 projected hitters (by OPS) by league. Enjoy!
Addendum: Something is screwed up with my projections for the Nationals. I’ve removed them, and I will add them when I get a chance. Sorry.
NL Rank Player Team05 AVG OBP SLG OPS 1 Adam Dunn CIN 0.282 0.412 0.583 0.995 2 Todd Helton COL 0.321 0.425 0.552 0.977 3 Chipper Jones ATL 0.300 0.411 0.560 0.972 4 Albert Pujols SLN 0.315 0.411 0.560 0.971 5 Derrek Lee CHN 0.299 0.384 0.572 0.956 6 Andruw Jones ATL 0.287 0.371 0.577 0.948 7 Jim Edmonds SLN 0.276 0.390 0.551 0.940 8 Lance Berkman HOU 0.294 0.400 0.519 0.919 9 J.D. Drew LAN 0.289 0.397 0.518 0.916 10 Morgan Ensberg HOU 0.281 0.381 0.534 0.915 11 Ken Griffey CIN 0.288 0.389 0.525 0.914 12 Tony Clark ARI 0.276 0.358 0.555 0.913 13 Jose Cruz ARI 0.269 0.380 0.533 0.912 14 Javier Valentin CIN 0.293 0.396 0.516 0.912 15 Russell Branyan MIL 0.265 0.381 0.527 0.908 16 Troy Glaus ARI 0.272 0.366 0.538 0.904 17 Jason Bay PIT 0.288 0.387 0.508 0.896 18 Dustan Mohr COL 0.269 0.342 0.551 0.892 19 Preston Wilson COL 0.284 0.357 0.535 0.891 20 Carlos Delgado FLO 0.284 0.373 0.517 0.890 AL Rank Player Team05 AVG OBP SLG OPS 1 Mark Teixeira TEX 0.316 0.393 0.588 0.981 2 David Dellucci TEX 0.294 0.397 0.578 0.976 3 Jason Giambi NYA 0.281 0.414 0.545 0.959 4 Travis Hafner CLE 0.293 0.398 0.559 0.956 5 Alex Rodriguez NYA 0.295 0.397 0.557 0.954 6 David Ortiz BOS 0.293 0.396 0.555 0.950 7 Manny Ramirez BOS 0.285 0.380 0.546 0.926 8 Mark DeRosa TEX 0.295 0.372 0.548 0.921 9 Kevin Mench TEX 0.314 0.377 0.533 0.910 10 Alfonso Soriano TEX 0.302 0.359 0.549 0.907 11 Richie Sexson SEA 0.275 0.380 0.526 0.906 12 Michael Young TEX 0.317 0.380 0.521 0.902 13 Richard Hidalgo TEX 0.289 0.358 0.538 0.896 14 Rod Barajas TEX 0.302 0.360 0.535 0.895 15 Hank Blalock TEX 0.302 0.363 0.526 0.889 16 Jhonny Peralta CLE 0.286 0.370 0.517 0.887 17 Paul Konerko CHA 0.270 0.361 0.520 0.881 18 Gary Matthews TEX 0.298 0.368 0.510 0.879 19 Adrian Gonzalez TEX 0.290 0.348 0.524 0.872 20 Jonny Gomes TBA 0.273 0.353 0.515 0.868
