With a week to go in the Francoeur game, I thought I’d give a little update.
On May 19, I predicted Jeff would finish the season with the following line:
.260/.275/.465 ==> .740 OPS
Several others chimed in with their estimates. All, except for one person who seconded my projection, predicted that Jeff would finish above this. Well, here’s how Francoeur stands with a week to go:
.258/.290/.437 ==> .727 OPS
There’s still time for improvement, but not much. Jeff played out of his head in 2005. In my opinion it was a perfect storm of lucky bounces, poor scouting, and good performance. Next year is going to be a pivotal season. I hope the Braves will stress improvement rather than continuing to hype him as their next star.
I’ll be looking back at some of my other not-so-accurate predictions soon.