Francoeur Game Winner

The other day someone asked me “Who won the Francoeur Game?” Sorry, it’s taken me so long to get to this. I’m having a very busy October. I am hopeful that I will finish up a big chunk of work before November. I have a lot I want to say about the 2006 season, and I’ll get to it as quickly as I can.

Anyway, I won the game on OPS with a projection of .260/.275/.465 ==> .740 OPS. Francoeur finished with a .260/.293/.449==>.742 line. However, I think Chris Constancio’s projection was the best (.257/.295/.458 => 753 OPS) because he nailed the higher OBP and lower SLG. My prediction just happened to cancel out just right.

If you’re not familiar with Chris, he runs the website FirstInning.com, and I’m a big fan. Given that his projection was so close this year—and he made his projection before the season started—I’m a bit worried about his prediction of Jeff’s future.

2007: .263/.301/.468 ==> .769
2008: .264/.303/.475 ==> .778

3 Responses “Francoeur Game Winner”

  1. Cliff Harpe says:

    I know it is easy to be down on Francoeur. Especially for some. But I find it interesting that the same projector (Chris Constancio: Firstinning.com) at the same time projected McCann’s 2006 through 2008 at approx. 760 OPS. I believe your forward looking PrOPS had McCann near .900 OPS. Both analyses seem to overly discount the inherent improvement that most players at these ages make and the age curve peaking OPS quite predictably around 27.

    I am not an apologist for Francoeur. He needs to deconstruct his swing and his approach. I genuinely believe he is good enough of an athlete to do it successfully. Two likely capable helpers are McCann’s dad and Chipper’s dad.

  2. Cliff Harpe says:

    JC,

    When I said “both analyses” yesterday I meant both of Constancio’s analyses.

  3. Jurgen says:

    Doesn’t that make Jeff Francoeur the new Joe Carter? And isn’t that still a valuable ballplayer? Or do you just trade him to the Yankees for Alex Rodriguez? (kidding)