Comments on: A Forum on the Career of Roger Clemens http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2008/02/a-forum-on-the-career-of-roger-clemens/ Economic Thinking about Baseball Sun, 09 Jan 2011 17:16:18 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: Cyril Morong http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2008/02/a-forum-on-the-career-of-roger-clemens/comment-page-1/#comment-90274 Cyril Morong Wed, 13 Feb 2008 00:02:36 +0000 http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2008/02/a-forum-on-the-career-of-roger-clemens/#comment-90274 I like what you did here. I would like to see them or anyone else say by exactly how much Clemens deviated from the trend. Did he perform, say, 10% better than expected based on the normal aging pattern? Suppose that deviation is the biggest one. Then tell me who had the second biggest deviation and how much it was. If the next guy deviated 9% and then the next 8%, and so so on, Clemens just happens to be the biggest deviatior. Someone has to come first. Before their were PEDs, there was a biggest deviator. Now if Clemens deviated by 20%, and then it was 9%, 8%, 7%, and so on. now he really starts to stick out. It is like saying a guy batted .400. If the next highest average is .395, the .390, then .385, etc., it is not as amazing as a guy who batted .400 when the next highest was .350, the .345, and so on. I like what you did here.

I would like to see them or anyone else say by exactly how much Clemens deviated from the trend. Did he perform, say, 10% better than expected based on the normal aging pattern? Suppose that deviation is the biggest one. Then tell me who had the second biggest deviation and how much it was. If the next guy deviated 9% and then the next 8%, and so so on, Clemens just happens to be the biggest deviatior. Someone has to come first. Before their were PEDs, there was a biggest deviator.

Now if Clemens deviated by 20%, and then it was 9%, 8%, 7%, and so on. now he really starts to stick out.

It is like saying a guy batted .400. If the next highest average is .395, the .390, then .385, etc., it is not as amazing as a guy who batted .400 when the next highest was .350, the .345, and so on.

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