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	<title>Comments on: Defending the Marlins</title>
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	<link>http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2008/03/defending-the-marlins/</link>
	<description>Economic Thinking about Baseball</description>
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		<title>By: Mark</title>
		<link>http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2008/03/defending-the-marlins/comment-page-1/#comment-96598</link>
		<dc:creator>Mark</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 09 Mar 2008 01:07:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2008/03/defending-the-marlins/#comment-96598</guid>
		<description>I fully agree.  A lot of people accuse the Yankees of buying success.  And yeah, the Yankees spend a lot of money and do well with it.  But what the Yankees really do well is understand the game.  Remember 1998, when the Yankees were arguably the best team in history?  Their team was built of players who came up through their system and players they received from trades for their young players.  Very few were free agents.  And A-Rod, the ultimate high-price free agent, was originally bought by the Rangers for a quarter billion, and he didn&#039;t help them win, because they needed pitching and not hitting.  In addition to the Marlins, the Indians have done well with a low payroll.  Money helps, but baseball smarts help more.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I fully agree.  A lot of people accuse the Yankees of buying success.  And yeah, the Yankees spend a lot of money and do well with it.  But what the Yankees really do well is understand the game.  Remember 1998, when the Yankees were arguably the best team in history?  Their team was built of players who came up through their system and players they received from trades for their young players.  Very few were free agents.  And A-Rod, the ultimate high-price free agent, was originally bought by the Rangers for a quarter billion, and he didn&#8217;t help them win, because they needed pitching and not hitting.  In addition to the Marlins, the Indians have done well with a low payroll.  Money helps, but baseball smarts help more.</p>
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		<title>By: Baker</title>
		<link>http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2008/03/defending-the-marlins/comment-page-1/#comment-96031</link>
		<dc:creator>Baker</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 Mar 2008 00:14:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2008/03/defending-the-marlins/#comment-96031</guid>
		<description>It&#039;s an interesting point you make, I am curious as to how you contrast your views on the Gwinnett County stadium with those on the Florida Marlins stadiums, it seems in both cases it is a direct wealth transfer from taxpayers to an individual and so should be opposed as nothing more than rent seeking behavior.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s an interesting point you make, I am curious as to how you contrast your views on the Gwinnett County stadium with those on the Florida Marlins stadiums, it seems in both cases it is a direct wealth transfer from taxpayers to an individual and so should be opposed as nothing more than rent seeking behavior.</p>
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		<title>By: Suffering Miami Fan</title>
		<link>http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2008/03/defending-the-marlins/comment-page-1/#comment-95996</link>
		<dc:creator>Suffering Miami Fan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 05 Mar 2008 21:28:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2008/03/defending-the-marlins/#comment-95996</guid>
		<description>There is one thing that your graph does not take into account.  The fans were unable to cheer on their team defending the title in both cases.
the 1997 Marlins were destroyed, making fans wary of going to another game.

Then, the 2003 team lost their catcher and first baseman, and the same Loria that had destroyed the Expos was threatening to leave Miami.  Attendance did increase from 10K to 22K per game, but they again did a firesale.  

Only MLB stepping in to force him to stay in Miami.  However, it takes YEARS to build up a fanbase.  Tossing aside players every time the fans get attached to them leads to spurned fans.  Once Bitten Twice Shy.  Even the other expansion teams are averaging in the mid twenties.  Had Wayne and Loria not stunned the loyal fans twice and then threatened to leave, I am sure that attendance would be in the mid to high 20s and perhaps even gotten to the low 30s.

Think about it, instead of our players on Detroit, Boston, LA, NY, and Chicago, they would be pulling in fans for the Marlins.

Check ANY team after a firesale, and you will see an attendance plummet.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There is one thing that your graph does not take into account.  The fans were unable to cheer on their team defending the title in both cases.<br />
the 1997 Marlins were destroyed, making fans wary of going to another game.</p>
<p>Then, the 2003 team lost their catcher and first baseman, and the same Loria that had destroyed the Expos was threatening to leave Miami.  Attendance did increase from 10K to 22K per game, but they again did a firesale.  </p>
<p>Only MLB stepping in to force him to stay in Miami.  However, it takes YEARS to build up a fanbase.  Tossing aside players every time the fans get attached to them leads to spurned fans.  Once Bitten Twice Shy.  Even the other expansion teams are averaging in the mid twenties.  Had Wayne and Loria not stunned the loyal fans twice and then threatened to leave, I am sure that attendance would be in the mid to high 20s and perhaps even gotten to the low 30s.</p>
<p>Think about it, instead of our players on Detroit, Boston, LA, NY, and Chicago, they would be pulling in fans for the Marlins.</p>
<p>Check ANY team after a firesale, and you will see an attendance plummet.</p>
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		<title>By: Matt</title>
		<link>http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2008/03/defending-the-marlins/comment-page-1/#comment-95934</link>
		<dc:creator>Matt</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 05 Mar 2008 18:20:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2008/03/defending-the-marlins/#comment-95934</guid>
		<description>Is that graph really meaningful?  Couldn&#039;t it be made up of consistently high attendance/high win teams and consistently low attendance/low win teams that all have the same relationship between winning and attendance?  As long as there is consistency between yearly attendance and yearly wins shouldn&#039;t the MLB slope be biased upward?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Is that graph really meaningful?  Couldn&#8217;t it be made up of consistently high attendance/high win teams and consistently low attendance/low win teams that all have the same relationship between winning and attendance?  As long as there is consistency between yearly attendance and yearly wins shouldn&#8217;t the MLB slope be biased upward?</p>
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		<title>By: Marc Schneider</title>
		<link>http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2008/03/defending-the-marlins/comment-page-1/#comment-95891</link>
		<dc:creator>Marc Schneider</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 05 Mar 2008 15:11:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2008/03/defending-the-marlins/#comment-95891</guid>
		<description>If I were the city officials of a city that was going to build a new stadium, I would at least insist as part of the deal that the team commit to investing in the product.  In a lot of these places, the team has taken the new stadium and simply milked the revenue from it without really putting it into the on-field product.  Even in St. Louis, which consistently sells out the park, the ownership has kept payroll down.  IMO, this is outrageous.  I suspect this is what will happen in Miami; the Marlins will increase payroll marginally--maybe even enough to have decent teams--but still not as much as the new revenue would justify and enjoy the additional profit while the taxpayers get screwed.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If I were the city officials of a city that was going to build a new stadium, I would at least insist as part of the deal that the team commit to investing in the product.  In a lot of these places, the team has taken the new stadium and simply milked the revenue from it without really putting it into the on-field product.  Even in St. Louis, which consistently sells out the park, the ownership has kept payroll down.  IMO, this is outrageous.  I suspect this is what will happen in Miami; the Marlins will increase payroll marginally&#8211;maybe even enough to have decent teams&#8211;but still not as much as the new revenue would justify and enjoy the additional profit while the taxpayers get screwed.</p>
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		<title>By: Andrew</title>
		<link>http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2008/03/defending-the-marlins/comment-page-1/#comment-95802</link>
		<dc:creator>Andrew</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 05 Mar 2008 02:06:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2008/03/defending-the-marlins/#comment-95802</guid>
		<description>I think MLB&#039;s collective bargaining agreement is to blame. There is nothing in place to prevent the shirking that Mr. Loria is exhibiting, and in fact, his actions are probably the most rational given the system that baseball operates with. I personally love what both Florida teams have done, and I do not understand why other franchises (KC, Pittsburgh) have not taken the same approach.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think MLB&#8217;s collective bargaining agreement is to blame. There is nothing in place to prevent the shirking that Mr. Loria is exhibiting, and in fact, his actions are probably the most rational given the system that baseball operates with. I personally love what both Florida teams have done, and I do not understand why other franchises (KC, Pittsburgh) have not taken the same approach.</p>
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		<title>By: Greg</title>
		<link>http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2008/03/defending-the-marlins/comment-page-1/#comment-95770</link>
		<dc:creator>Greg</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 04 Mar 2008 20:21:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2008/03/defending-the-marlins/#comment-95770</guid>
		<description>I will repeat in here what I have been saying in my lively email discussion with Maury --- Loria is doing this because he doesn&#039;t have the wealth that the other owners do, and he needs to cough up $120 million in upfront cash when the new stadium opens.  Since he appears to have no interest in taking on new debt or minority owners, he&#039;s resorting to this scorched earth approach and hoping that JC&#039;s premise above is correct.

It&#039;s a risky and, IMO, foolish move in the long term, but I see no evidence that this guy has the wherewithal to help bankroll a stadium without borrowing from a revenue stream (whether it&#039;s current operating income, pledging future media revenue, etc.) which would otherwise accrue to player salaries.

Makes me glad Portland didn&#039;t fall for the Marlins&#039; dog-and-pony show.  We already have AAA baseball.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I will repeat in here what I have been saying in my lively email discussion with Maury &#8212; Loria is doing this because he doesn&#8217;t have the wealth that the other owners do, and he needs to cough up $120 million in upfront cash when the new stadium opens.  Since he appears to have no interest in taking on new debt or minority owners, he&#8217;s resorting to this scorched earth approach and hoping that JC&#8217;s premise above is correct.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s a risky and, IMO, foolish move in the long term, but I see no evidence that this guy has the wherewithal to help bankroll a stadium without borrowing from a revenue stream (whether it&#8217;s current operating income, pledging future media revenue, etc.) which would otherwise accrue to player salaries.</p>
<p>Makes me glad Portland didn&#8217;t fall for the Marlins&#8217; dog-and-pony show.  We already have AAA baseball.</p>
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		<title>By: Mr Lomez</title>
		<link>http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2008/03/defending-the-marlins/comment-page-1/#comment-95716</link>
		<dc:creator>Mr Lomez</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 04 Mar 2008 18:13:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2008/03/defending-the-marlins/#comment-95716</guid>
		<description>While I agree with a lot of what is said here, I take serious umbrage with the following:  

&quot;After all, though [Loria&#039;s] behavior seems juvenile, it worked: he’s getting a $500 million stadium for a third of the price. Why spend your own money when you can spend someone else’s? It’s the voters and the politicians who deserve the blame for giving in.  But this is beside the point.&quot;

Really?  You can accuse Marlin fans of a lot of things but giving in to Loria isn&#039;t one of them.  For 5 years Miami has fought tooth and nail with the Marlins over this deal while Loria has rejected multiple lesser offers, including a $325mil stadium, and consistently floated a possible move to San Antonio or Las Vegas over the city&#039;s head as leverage.  Should we also blame Sonics fans for NOT giving in to Clay Bennett?  Furthermore, that you say the financing of the stadium has little bearing on the issue of how Loria spends his revenue-sharing money is not quite true, since Loria has repeatedly used Miami&#039;s ostensible indifference towards the Marlins, his evidence for which is precisely the city&#039;s unwillingness to fund a stadium, as an excuse to keep the Marlin&#039;s payroll to a bare minimum.  What kind of precedent is this setting?    Now cities have to fund new stadiums not only to keep their teams in town, but to ensure a good faith effort from ownership to at least try to put out a quality product every year?  In my mind, the Marlins&#039; practices, despite the team actually winning, represent a lot of what&#039;s wrong with professional sports.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>While I agree with a lot of what is said here, I take serious umbrage with the following:  </p>
<p>&#8220;After all, though [Loria's] behavior seems juvenile, it worked: he’s getting a $500 million stadium for a third of the price. Why spend your own money when you can spend someone else’s? It’s the voters and the politicians who deserve the blame for giving in.  But this is beside the point.&#8221;</p>
<p>Really?  You can accuse Marlin fans of a lot of things but giving in to Loria isn&#8217;t one of them.  For 5 years Miami has fought tooth and nail with the Marlins over this deal while Loria has rejected multiple lesser offers, including a $325mil stadium, and consistently floated a possible move to San Antonio or Las Vegas over the city&#8217;s head as leverage.  Should we also blame Sonics fans for NOT giving in to Clay Bennett?  Furthermore, that you say the financing of the stadium has little bearing on the issue of how Loria spends his revenue-sharing money is not quite true, since Loria has repeatedly used Miami&#8217;s ostensible indifference towards the Marlins, his evidence for which is precisely the city&#8217;s unwillingness to fund a stadium, as an excuse to keep the Marlin&#8217;s payroll to a bare minimum.  What kind of precedent is this setting?    Now cities have to fund new stadiums not only to keep their teams in town, but to ensure a good faith effort from ownership to at least try to put out a quality product every year?  In my mind, the Marlins&#8217; practices, despite the team actually winning, represent a lot of what&#8217;s wrong with professional sports.</p>
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		<title>By: dfc</title>
		<link>http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2008/03/defending-the-marlins/comment-page-1/#comment-95710</link>
		<dc:creator>dfc</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 04 Mar 2008 17:09:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2008/03/defending-the-marlins/#comment-95710</guid>
		<description>It seems to me that a large part of the reason for the flat slope is the slash-and-burn strategy.  Generally one reaps the (bulk of the) rewards of a world championship the year after doing the winning.  If you burn that team to the ground in the offseason, you eliminate almost all chance of reaping those rewards.  So I don&#039;t see how that isn&#039;t a self-inflicted wound.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It seems to me that a large part of the reason for the flat slope is the slash-and-burn strategy.  Generally one reaps the (bulk of the) rewards of a world championship the year after doing the winning.  If you burn that team to the ground in the offseason, you eliminate almost all chance of reaping those rewards.  So I don&#8217;t see how that isn&#8217;t a self-inflicted wound.</p>
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		<title>By: Maury</title>
		<link>http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2008/03/defending-the-marlins/comment-page-1/#comment-95708</link>
		<dc:creator>Maury</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 04 Mar 2008 16:55:08 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>To add what I did prior (by way of iPhone, which was a grand experiment, to say the least)...

The attendance graph is telling. As Marc Schneider put so well, community investment is needed. The stadium is about garnering more revenues for ownership, and you hope they funnel it back into player payroll.

As to the market itself... When &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.bizofbaseball.com/index.php?option=com_content&amp;task=view&amp;id=1173&amp;Itemid=81&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;I asked Fay Vincent&lt;/a&gt; as to whether expansion in the &#039;90s was done to offset the collusion payments. I wrote in part, &quot;There is the perception, real or otherwise, that expansion was done to offset the losses incurred over collusion in the ‘80s. What is your perception of that issue?&quot;

Vincent replied, &quot;Well, I think it’s absolutely correct. Indeed, I don’t think there’s any doubt about it. Look, each owner had a $10 million bill and there were about 26 clubs before expansion and 30 at the moment, then $280 million, let’s say $10 million a club – they didn’t have the money. So they did what most would business do, they sold stock, they sold interest in the clubs, in the expansion clubs. In my day two of them - Miami and Denver. And that money, which was vital, paid off their collusion debt. Without it I think baseball would have had a very serious time.&quot;

Back to the point you are making J.C... You write, &quot;Some of that money not going to player payroll is going to baseball operations devoted to scouting young talent that is cheap.&quot; It would be good to know how much is going to where it is supposed to go. Kevin Goldstein has exactly two prospects in his Top 100 from the Marlins: OF Cameron Maybin at #10 and RHP Chris Volstad at #88. That doesn&#039;t exactly point to solid investment in player development.

The bigger question is, is it the job of high-revenue making clubs such as the Yankees and the Red Sox to pay entirely for the Marlins player payroll? It&#039;s a mockery, what the Marlins are doing. If one person in MLB can be found (outside of Loria and Sampson) that will rationalize what the Marlins are doing, it would be a mean feat.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>To add what I did prior (by way of iPhone, which was a grand experiment, to say the least)&#8230;</p>
<p>The attendance graph is telling. As Marc Schneider put so well, community investment is needed. The stadium is about garnering more revenues for ownership, and you hope they funnel it back into player payroll.</p>
<p>As to the market itself&#8230; When <a href="http://www.bizofbaseball.com/index.php?option=com_content&amp;task=view&amp;id=1173&amp;Itemid=81" rel="nofollow">I asked Fay Vincent</a> as to whether expansion in the &#8217;90s was done to offset the collusion payments. I wrote in part, &#8220;There is the perception, real or otherwise, that expansion was done to offset the losses incurred over collusion in the ‘80s. What is your perception of that issue?&#8221;</p>
<p>Vincent replied, &#8220;Well, I think it’s absolutely correct. Indeed, I don’t think there’s any doubt about it. Look, each owner had a $10 million bill and there were about 26 clubs before expansion and 30 at the moment, then $280 million, let’s say $10 million a club – they didn’t have the money. So they did what most would business do, they sold stock, they sold interest in the clubs, in the expansion clubs. In my day two of them &#8211; Miami and Denver. And that money, which was vital, paid off their collusion debt. Without it I think baseball would have had a very serious time.&#8221;</p>
<p>Back to the point you are making J.C&#8230; You write, &#8220;Some of that money not going to player payroll is going to baseball operations devoted to scouting young talent that is cheap.&#8221; It would be good to know how much is going to where it is supposed to go. Kevin Goldstein has exactly two prospects in his Top 100 from the Marlins: OF Cameron Maybin at #10 and RHP Chris Volstad at #88. That doesn&#8217;t exactly point to solid investment in player development.</p>
<p>The bigger question is, is it the job of high-revenue making clubs such as the Yankees and the Red Sox to pay entirely for the Marlins player payroll? It&#8217;s a mockery, what the Marlins are doing. If one person in MLB can be found (outside of Loria and Sampson) that will rationalize what the Marlins are doing, it would be a mean feat.</p>
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