Puerto Rican Prospects and Incentives

April 15, 2008 By: JC Category: Business, Moneyball, Scouting

I don’t know much about the actual development of Puerto Rican prospects, but assuming the story told is correct, Brian Joura provides a nice example of how weakening of property rights hurts investment.

In 1990, Puerto Rico, a U.S. territory, was added to the MLB amateur draft, meaning that players from the island were subject to the same signing rules and terms of draft eligibility as players in the U.S. and Canada. While players from countries outside the MLB amateur draft could be signed as soon as they reached the age of 16, those subject to the MLB amateur draft had to wait until they finished high school.

The result:

In the 17 years since being included in the draft, only four players from Puerto Rico have approached the level of success achieved by the players from the 1982-88 period. Only Carlos Beltran, Jorge Posada, Javy Vazquez and Jose Vidro have emerged from what previously was a booming market of star players from Puerto Rico.

What happened here?

In a word - money. When teams had to compete to sign the best talent in an open marketplace, they had to spend money, both in signing bonuses and in promoting their brand. Teams would spend money on facilities in these countries, hoping players would develop allegiances to an organization. It’s no coincidence that three of the 13 players listed above (Gonzalez, Rodriguez and Sierra) signed with the Texas Rangers. Teams added locally-based scouts to their payroll to help identify talented players at an early age so they could get the jump on other teams.

But with the addition of Puerto Rico to the annual amateur draft, a team no longer had incentive to invest money in developing relationships in Puerto Rico because a player they spent money on could be drafted by any of the other teams in MLB. So money that might have gone to Puerto Rico now went elsewhere. Like Venezuela, which has sent Bobby Abreu, Edgardo Alfonzo, Miguel Cabrera, Carlos Guillen, Ramon Hernandez, Richard Hidalgo, Victor Martinez, Melvin Mora, Magglio Ordonez and Johan Santana, among others, to the majors since 1990. The Astros have been very active in Venezuela, signing Abreu, Guillen, Hidalgo and Santana from the above list.

Now that there is less benefit to finding and signing a hidden gem in Puerto Rico, teams have little reason to stay. Also, informal local “agents” who scout and develop prospects in return for a cut of future player earnings have less incentive to find at groom pre-16 talent. The draft reduced signing bonuses, and agents may have then decided spend time doing things other than finding baseball talent.

3 Responses to “ Puerto Rican Prospects and Incentives ”

  1. # 1 Greyson Says:
    April 15th, 2008 at 12:41 pm

    So what’s the fix here? Extend the draft coverage worldwide like many have suggested, which would then perhaps necessitate MLB in unison acting to increase talent development overseas… Or do we axe the draft entirely so as not to harm U.S. prospects comparative value… Neither sounds too workable, and I’d doubt either will come to pass.

    On a similar note: can anyone explain why Yunel Escobar was subject to the MLB Draft? I’ve never understood that…

  2. # 2 Brian Joura Says:
    April 15th, 2008 at 1:29 pm

    Thank you for posting this. As for Greyson’s query, Escobar was subject to the draft because he established residency in this country. According to AP/ESPN his place of residence at the time of the draft was Miami. Most defectors get hooked up with an agent who establishes their residency somewhere else, like the Dominican Republic, so they won’t be subjected to the draft.

  3. # 3 Tucker Says:
    April 15th, 2008 at 4:35 pm

    I think you are wrong about one thing, bonuses haven’t dropped they’ve become more unequal. The inequality has the same general effect, but it isn’t the same thing. Pretty minor point.

← What’s Up with Kelly Johnson?
Business of the Braves →
  • Welcome

    • RSS
    • Main
    • Sabernomics FAQ
    • Comments Policy
    • JC's Homepage
    • MySpace Page
    • Facebook me!


    Join my blog network
    on Facebook
    Blog Networks
  • About

    You Avatar J.C. Bradbury is an economist and associate professor at Kennesaw State University in metropolitan Atlanta. He is the author of The Baseball Economist and has operated Sabernomics.com since March 2004.

  • Recent Posts

    • Vacation Update: Social Networking Edition
    • Excuse Me?
    • More On Gerald Scully
    • RIP Gerald Scully
    • AJC Op-Ed on Stadium “Stimulus”
  • Recent Comments

    • Daily Box Score 6/23: Blame the WBC, Curveballs and Dan Haren's Run Differential on Excuse Me?
    • The Passing of a Pioneer in Sports Economics « The Wages of Wins Journal on RIP Gerald Scully
    • Cyril Morong on How Do You Celebrate Five Years? A Vacation
    • Don S on How Do You Celebrate Five Years? A Vacation
    • Edward on How Do You Celebrate Five Years? A Vacation
  • Calendar

    April 2008
    M T W T F S S
    « Mar   May »
     123456
    78910111213
    14151617181920
    21222324252627
    282930  
  • Archives

    • June 2009
    • May 2009
    • April 2009
    • March 2009
    • February 2009
    • January 2009
    • December 2008
    • November 2008
    • October 2008
    • September 2008
    • August 2008
    • July 2008
    • June 2008
    • May 2008
    • April 2008
    • March 2008
    • February 2008
    • January 2008
    • December 2007
    • November 2007
    • October 2007
    • September 2007
    • August 2007
    • July 2007
    • June 2007
    • May 2007
    • April 2007
    • March 2007
    • February 2007
    • January 2007
    • December 2006
    • November 2006
    • October 2006
    • September 2006
    • August 2006
    • July 2006
    • June 2006
    • May 2006
    • April 2006
    • March 2006
    • February 2006
    • January 2006
    • December 2005
    • November 2005
    • October 2005
    • September 2005
    • August 2005
    • July 2005
    • June 2005
    • May 2005
    • April 2005
    • March 2005
    • February 2005
    • January 2005
    • December 2004
    • November 2004
    • October 2004
    • September 2004
    • August 2004
    • July 2004
    • June 2004
    • May 2004
    • April 2004
    • March 2004
  • Categories

    • Book Review
    • Braves
    • Business
    • Contests
    • Economics
    • Events
    • Fielding
    • Football
    • General
    • Growth Hormone (HGH)
    • Gwinnett Braves
    • Hall of Fame
    • Hitting
    • JC's Book
    • Mailbox
    • Managing
    • Media
    • Moneyball
    • Murphy for Cooperstown
    • People
    • Pitching
    • Sabermetrics
    • Scouting
    • Steroids
  • Meta

    • Log in
    • Entries RSS
    • Comments RSS
    • WordPress.org
  • Stats



    Wikio - Top of the Blogs - Sports



  • Spam Blocked

    120,323 spam comments
    blocked by
    Akismet
    • My Book

      The Baseball Economist
      • Reviews
      • Errata
      • Order
      • Amazon.com
      • Barnes & Noble
      • Books-a-Million
      • Booksense.com
      • Borders
      • Powell's
      • Penguin
      • Amazon.ca
      • Chapters.indigo.ca
      • Kindle


    • Subscribe to Sabernomics on your cell phone
    • Baseball Blogs

      • Aaron’s Baseball Blog
      • Ballbug
      • Ballhype
      • Baseball Analysts
      • Baseball Crank
      • Baseball Digest Daily
      • Baseball Evolution
      • Baseball Musings
      • Baseball Primer
      • Baseball Prospectus
      • Beyond the Boxscore
      • BR.com’s Sports Reference Blog
      • Futility Infielder
      • Kaplan’s Baseball Bookshelf
      • Mets Geek
      • Minor League Ball
      • MLB Trade Rumors
      • Rob Neyer
      • Shysterball
      • The Baseball Project
      • VorosMcCracken.com
    • Baseball Stats

      • Baseball America
      • Baseball-Reference
      • Cot’s Baseball Contracts
      • ESPN MLB
      • First Inning
      • Hit Tracker
      • Lahman Baseball Archive
      • Retrosheet
      • The Baseball Cube
    • Braves Blogs

      • Braves Journal
      • Braves-Nation
      • Chop Nation
      • Chop-n-Change
      • Talking Chop
      • The Launching Pad
      • The Tomahawk
    • Braves Stats

      • Atlanta
      • Danville
      • Mississippi
      • Myrtle Beach
      • Richmond
      • Rome
    • Football

      • Football Commentary
      • PFR Blog
      • Pro-Football-Reference
    • General Blogs

      • Art De Vany
      • Cafe Hayek
      • Division of Labour
      • Everyday Econ
      • Freakonomics
      • Greg Mankiw
      • Heavy Lifting
      • John Wright
      • Marginal Revolution
      • Reid Promotions
      • Selling Waves
      • The Dish
      • The Mint Julep
      • WikiKnitting
    • Sports Blogs

      • Deadspin
      • Heels, Sox, & Steelers
      • Offwing Opinion
      • Sports Law
    • Sports Econ Blogs

      • Division of Labour
      • Heavy Lifting
      • Market Power
      • Sports Quant
      • The Sports Economist
      • Wages of Wins


    Sabernomics © 2007 All Rights Reserved. Using WordPress 2.7 Engine
    Entries and Comments.

    Prosumer 1.4 made by Nurudin Jauhari