Comments on: Missing Out on Burnett http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2008/12/missing-out-on-burnett/ Economic Thinking about Baseball Sun, 09 Jan 2011 17:16:18 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: Marc Schneider http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2008/12/missing-out-on-burnett/comment-page-1/#comment-105441 Marc Schneider Tue, 16 Dec 2008 15:27:32 +0000 http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/?p=1188#comment-105441 I agree, Burnett is too big a risk for a team like the Braves.  He makes sense for the Yankees.   There's a big upside but a significant downside as well.  I have real issues about signing pitchers in their thirties anyway, especially since it's not likely that either Burnett or Lowe would put the Braves over the top.  But Lowe does make more sense, but I'm not sure if he does for five years.  I agree, Burnett is too big a risk for a team like the Braves.  He makes sense for the Yankees.   There’s a big upside but a significant downside as well.  I have real issues about signing pitchers in their thirties anyway, especially since it’s not likely that either Burnett or Lowe would put the Braves over the top.  But Lowe does make more sense, but I’m not sure if he does for five years. 

]]> By: Gary http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2008/12/missing-out-on-burnett/comment-page-1/#comment-105435 Gary Tue, 16 Dec 2008 02:33:26 +0000 http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/?p=1188#comment-105435 I wouldn't want to pay a guy 82.5 million that has only pitched more than 200 innings 3 times in his 10 year career. The Braves need to give that kind of money to a guy that is going to make 30+ starts a season and pitch 200+ innings. With A.J., I don't think you will get that for most of the contract. I'm not saying he'll be injured as often as Mike Hampton but the guy misses quite a few starts almost every season. I wouldn’t want to pay a guy 82.5 million that has only pitched more than 200 innings 3 times in his 10 year career. The Braves need to give that kind of money to a guy that is going to make 30+ starts a season and pitch 200+ innings. With A.J., I don’t think you will get that for most of the contract. I’m not saying he’ll be injured as often as Mike Hampton but the guy misses quite a few starts almost every season.

]]> By: Rick http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2008/12/missing-out-on-burnett/comment-page-1/#comment-105428 Rick Mon, 15 Dec 2008 21:13:08 +0000 http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/?p=1188#comment-105428 I agree that Lowe would be a good signing for the Braves. The lack of reported interest might have something to do with the Braves not wanting anyone on the team, Sheffield aside who has controversy associated with their name. Lowe has a pretty rich history off the field in both Boston and LA. I don't think the Boras factor has anything to do with it. They dealt with Boras when they tried to sign Teixeira. Why would you avoid many of the best players in the game just because their agent is the best in the business? That does not make sense from a business POV. In fact, it's just stupid. I agree that Lowe would be a good signing for the Braves. The lack of reported interest might have something to do with the Braves not wanting anyone on the team, Sheffield aside who has controversy associated with their name. Lowe has a pretty rich history off the field in both Boston and LA.
I don’t think the Boras factor has anything to do with it. They dealt with Boras when they tried to sign Teixeira. Why would you avoid many of the best players in the game just because their agent is the best in the business? That does not make sense from a business POV. In fact, it’s just stupid.

]]> By: Connor http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2008/12/missing-out-on-burnett/comment-page-1/#comment-105425 Connor Mon, 15 Dec 2008 20:04:10 +0000 http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/?p=1188#comment-105425 That's what I've been saying!  I know Boras is his client but the market really doesn't look like it is going to develop for Lowe.  Philly is probably out since they signed Moyer and Ibanez.  The Yankees are reportedly much more interested in Pettite or maybe Sheets.  The Red Sox are interested, but it's unclear how interested.  Wren would be a fool not to at least strongly consider Lowe.  Just because he is a sinkerballer and doesn't have "ace" stuff like Burnett doesn't mean he wouldn't lead our rotation.  Even if it costs 4/60 I think thats a much better signing than Burnett for 5/82.5. That’s what I’ve been saying!  I know Boras is his client but the market really doesn’t look like it is going to develop for Lowe.  Philly is probably out since they signed Moyer and Ibanez.  The Yankees are reportedly much more interested in Pettite or maybe Sheets.  The Red Sox are interested, but it’s unclear how interested.  Wren would be a fool not to at least strongly consider Lowe.  Just because he is a sinkerballer and doesn’t have “ace” stuff like Burnett doesn’t mean he wouldn’t lead our rotation.  Even if it costs 4/60 I think thats a much better signing than Burnett for 5/82.5.

]]> By: Frank http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2008/12/missing-out-on-burnett/comment-page-1/#comment-105423 Frank Mon, 15 Dec 2008 18:56:12 +0000 http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/?p=1188#comment-105423 I too think the Braves would be better with Lowe than Burnett, but why no interest in Lowe? Scott Boras I saw a report earlier today that the Yanks weren't interested in any Boras clients this year.  It might be a coincidence but it makes one wonder ... I too think the Braves would be better with Lowe than Burnett, but why no interest in Lowe?

Scott Boras

I saw a report earlier today that the Yanks weren’t interested in any Boras clients this year.  It might be a coincidence but it makes one wonder …

]]> By: Adam http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2008/12/missing-out-on-burnett/comment-page-1/#comment-105418 Adam Mon, 15 Dec 2008 17:52:51 +0000 http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/?p=1188#comment-105418 Is a guy that had Tommy John surgery 5 years ago and a sore shoulder 2 years ago really a serious injury risk? Is a guy that had Tommy John surgery 5 years ago and a sore shoulder 2 years ago really a serious injury risk?

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