A-Rod’s HR Rates

I don’t have time for much commentary, but in case you are wondering…

A-Rod HR Rate

2001–2003 are his admitted steroid years. They are also the years in which he played in homer-friendly Rangers ballpark.

If you look hard enough, you’ll probably think you see something, but there doesn’t appear to be much here. Yes, his homers went up when the AL’s HR rate went down, but then take a look at 2007 and 2008. Also, he was also still experiencing aging improvements in a helpful environment.

UPDATE: More here.

2 Responses “A-Rod’s HR Rates”

  1. Ken Houghton says:

    So at 27 he hits his HR peak, and pretty much does it again at 33 (3 fewer HR in 41 fewer ABs–and 14 more RBIs).

    The clear conclusion is that all of the players that Bill James et al. were examining when they started doing career productivity analysis were using steroids, since the baseball LC theory matches those early years fairly well.

    Either that, or the PEDs were not PE.  But that can’t be true, can it?


  2. Kent says:

    Thanks JC.  This is one of the many aspects to the whole “steroids” mess that the indignant media never mentions:  the effects.  And, while, I don’t doubt that “steroids” have some effect, I don’t think that they are magic pills or anything.  Not that I want any player to have to go through their series of tabloid indictments–and I’m not even an Alex Rodriguez fan–I almost (sorry here) wish the leaked name had been Derek Jeter.  Why?  Just to see what the Mike Lupica-types would have done.  But, not since it’s ARod and there’s nothing really going on in sports right now, it’s all about the woe-is-me-the-sky-is-falling approach.

    By the way, is apology was about the only option that he had and I thought he nailed it.  If there really isn’t anything else out there on him–he said he’s been “clean” during his years with the Yankees–he’ll be fine.