Comments on: A-Rod’s HR Rates http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2009/02/a-rods-hr-rates/ Economic Thinking about Baseball Sun, 09 Jan 2011 17:16:18 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: Kent http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2009/02/a-rods-hr-rates/comment-page-1/#comment-105929 Kent Tue, 10 Feb 2009 14:41:27 +0000 http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/?p=1422#comment-105929 Thanks JC.  This is one of the many aspects to the whole "steroids" mess that the indignant media never mentions:  the effects.  And, while, I don't doubt that "steroids" have some effect, I don't think that they are magic pills or anything.  Not that I want any player to have to go through their series of tabloid indictments--and I'm not even an Alex Rodriguez fan--I almost (sorry here) wish the leaked name had been Derek Jeter.  Why?  Just to see what the Mike Lupica-types would have done.  But, not since it's ARod and there's nothing really going on in sports right now, it's all about the woe-is-me-the-sky-is-falling approach. By the way, is apology was about the only option that he had and I thought he nailed it.  If there really isn't anything else out there on him--he said he's been "clean" during his years with the Yankees--he'll be fine. Thanks JC.  This is one of the many aspects to the whole “steroids” mess that the indignant media never mentions:  the effects.  And, while, I don’t doubt that “steroids” have some effect, I don’t think that they are magic pills or anything.  Not that I want any player to have to go through their series of tabloid indictments–and I’m not even an Alex Rodriguez fan–I almost (sorry here) wish the leaked name had been Derek Jeter.  Why?  Just to see what the Mike Lupica-types would have done.  But, not since it’s ARod and there’s nothing really going on in sports right now, it’s all about the woe-is-me-the-sky-is-falling approach.

By the way, is apology was about the only option that he had and I thought he nailed it.  If there really isn’t anything else out there on him–he said he’s been “clean” during his years with the Yankees–he’ll be fine.

]]> By: Ken Houghton http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2009/02/a-rods-hr-rates/comment-page-1/#comment-105925 Ken Houghton Mon, 09 Feb 2009 23:21:45 +0000 http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/?p=1422#comment-105925 So at 27 he hits his HR peak, and pretty much does it again at 33 (3 fewer HR in 41 fewer ABs--and 14 more RBIs). The clear conclusion is that all of the players that Bill James et al. were examining when they started doing career productivity analysis were using steroids, since the baseball LC theory matches those early years fairly well. Either that, or the PEDs were not PE.  But that can't be true, can it? /snark So at 27 he hits his HR peak, and pretty much does it again at 33 (3 fewer HR in 41 fewer ABs–and 14 more RBIs).

The clear conclusion is that all of the players that Bill James et al. were examining when they started doing career productivity analysis were using steroids, since the baseball LC theory matches those early years fairly well.

Either that, or the PEDs were not PE.  But that can’t be true, can it?

/snark

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