Here is a list of some top free agents, and what I project them to be worth in 2011.
– These values are projected based on recent past performance.
– The estimates account for aging and league revenue growth.
– These values are just for 2011. Over a longer term, value will diminish with age, but increase with revenue growth. Revenue growth is stronger than aging decline; therefore, even as players age their value tends to increase. If a player signs a five-year contract, he will typically get more than five-times the value projected in 2011.
– Values assume the player signs with an average team. Players who sign with winning teams are worth considerably more than their value to an average team. Example: Clill Lee is worth nearly $10 million/year more to a top team than an average team.
First Last Last Team 2011 Value (in millions) Adrian Beltre BOS $12.6 Lance Berkman NYY $9.8 Pat Burrell SFG $7.0 David Bush MIL $4.5 Carl Crawford TBR $15.0 Johnny Damon DET $9.5 Jorge de la Rosa COL $6.5 Adam Dunn WAS $10.5 Jon Garland SDP $8.5 Vlad Guerrero TEX $7.5 Orlando Hudson MIN $10.0 Aubrey Huff SFG $11.0 Derek Jeter NYY $9.0 Paul Konerko CHW $9.5 Hiroko Kuroda LAD $8.0 Cliff Lee TEX $18.5 Victor Martinez BOS $10.0 Kevin Millwood BAL $6.5 Carl Pavano MIN $9.5 Carlos Pena TBR $10.0 Andy Pettitte NYY $6.0 Scott Podsednik LAD $4.0 J.J. Putz CHW $5.0 Chad Qualls TBR $5.0 Manny Ramirez CHW $7.0 Jon Rauch MIN $6.0 Edgar Renteria SFG $5.0 Mariano Rivera NYY $9.5 Rafael Soriano TBR $8.6 Jim Thome MIN $9.5 Juan Uribe SFG $7.0 Jayson Werth PHI $14.0 Jake Westbrook STL $7.0